AMBlog

Some thoughts regarding the market and the economy.

Friday, January 29, 2016

AMBlog Index Performance Update

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We thought to present the performance of our long recommendations compared with a couple of indexes/benchmarks.  We have been fortunate to...
3 comments:
Monday, August 24, 2015

Our latest valuation of S&P 500 (8/24/15) ...

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Given the volatility that we have seen the last few days, and the fact that it was about a year ago that we provided our 12-month S&P ...
Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Update ...

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It is a bit late, but we thought to share with you the performance of our picks that required in-depth research.  We note that while we co...
Friday, February 6, 2015

Our Jan. '15 NFP change guesstimate ...

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We expect approx. 200K jobs to have been added during Jan. '15.  Our estimate is below the 230K consensus, yet again.  Most regional F...
Friday, December 5, 2014

Our Nov. '14 NFP change guesstimate is +175K ...

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For the third month in a row, we are submitting our NFP change guesstimate a bit late, but certainly more than a few hours before BLS relea...
Monday, December 1, 2014

A few thoughts on the recent decline in price of oil ...

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We thought to make a few comments regarding the recent dump that oil prices have taken.  Such a drastic decline (nearly 15% in less than a...
Friday, November 7, 2014

Oct. '14 NFP change guesstimate

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We're late again, as it is currently 1:58am (ET) on Friday morning.  However, as usual, we'd still like to post our NFP change gue...
Monday, October 27, 2014

GCI: Another good quarter ...

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Yes, Gannett (GCI) remains a value play, as we initially mentioned on 1/27/2014 .  After hitting a 52-week high of $35.70/sh, which was 33...

AMC, CKEC, CNK, RGC: More good news ...

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Although we have begun working for what we view as the best NoSQL technology startup/vendor, we remain up-to-date on the equity market a...
Sunday, October 26, 2014

AVID: A quick review ...

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Given that the important catalysts ( which we touched on in late Mar. ‘14 ) associated with Avid Technology (AVID), are slowly but sur...
Friday, October 3, 2014

Sept. '14 NFP change guesstimate

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We're again late for this month, as it is currently 2:15am (ET) on Friday morning.  However, we'd still like to post our Sept. NFP...
Friday, September 5, 2014

Aug '14 employment numbers disappoint ...

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While we estimated a big 35K miss as compared with the consensus, the miss was even bigger, 88K.  August NFP change of 142K came in signi...
Thursday, September 4, 2014

August '14 NFP change guesstimate ...

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Although we are a bit late this time, we thought to provide our guesstimate for tomorrow's BLS employment report.  We estimate BLS wil...
Monday, August 18, 2014

GCI: We now value it at $44.00/sh, 27% upside ...

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With the announcement of a spin-off in mid-FY '15 and the planned acquisition of Cars.com, we now think the combined companies of Gann...
Monday, August 11, 2014

BCOR: Very disappointing guidance; remaining 'neutral' on the name

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Blucora (BCOR) was singing the blues on Friday after reporting better than expected Q2 results, but accompanied by very disappointing guid...
2 comments:
Thursday, August 7, 2014

Our latest valuation of S&P 500 ...

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Let's discuss valuation of S&P 500.  For the next four quarters (including current Q3), we value S&P 500 at 1776, 7% lower tha...
Tuesday, August 5, 2014

GCI: Will split into two separate companies; acquires remaining 73% of Cars.com

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Gannett (GCI) announced it is planning to split into two separate companies trading on the NYSE.  This will likely be completed by mid-201...

CNK, CKEC: A bit more encouraging Q2 numbers than peers ...

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Cinemark (CNK) Unlike its peers, CNK, reported better than expected Q2 results on the top and bottom-line.  We still the stock is worth $3...
Monday, August 4, 2014

Not a bad start to Aug. '14 at the box office ...

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Led by Guardians of the Galaxy, this past weekend's box office numbers provided some hope that Q3 may not be as bad as many initially ...

Thoughts on Jul. '14 employment and ISM figures ...

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BLS Employment Report (Jul. '14) Change in NFP for Jul. '14 came in practically in the middle of the range between our 190K es...
Thursday, July 31, 2014

Jul '14 NFP and ISM manufacturing guesstimates ...

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We are yet again a bit pessimistic when it comes to the monthly change in NFP.  We estimate that figure to be 190K, compared with the cons...

AMC: Mixed Q2 results; remain 'neutral' on the stock ...

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AMC reported mixed Q2 results; beating on the bottom-line, but missing the top-line consensus by $12.5MM.  We remain 'neutral' on ...
Wednesday, July 30, 2014

IACI: Q2 numbers missed expectations; still value it at $60/sh

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IACI reported Q2 results this morning missing on the top and bottom-line.  Revenues came in $40MM short of the Street's estimates.  We...
Tuesday, July 29, 2014

TWTR, FB: Strong Q2 for Twitter; stock up ~ 30% in AHs; remains overvalued ...

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Twitter (TWTR) TWTR had a good overall Q2, as we expected.  Data licensing revenues which grew 43% sequentially, beat what the Street was ...
1 comment:

TWTR, AMC, BCOR, IACI: Earnings previews ...

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Twitter (TWTR) TWTR will report Q2 results today after the close.  FB's strong Q2 numbers may have indicated that TWTR also had a ...

GCI, FB, RGC: Last week's earnings review

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Below is a review of the latest quarterly earnings (reported last week) of some of the companies which we have covered on this blog.  We w...
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