Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Friday's Upcoming Employment Situation Report ...

The official Feb. employment report will be released on Friday (3/8).  The Street is expecting an increase of 171K in the NFP figure.  Our model generated a figure slightly below that, 165K.  Improvements in weekly initial jobless claims appear to have stalled a bit as the Feb. numbers were slightly higher than Jan.  ISM's employment sub-index also declined slightly in Feb.  We used the Street's ADP estimate of a 173K increase for Feb. in our model.  As the S&P 500 is again approaching the 2013 high of 1530, we think a miss will likely drag down the market, unlike the January miss.

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